Barack Obama and Donald Trump have done much to clarify the stakes in the 2016 presidential election. Obama through his stubborn, imposition of a failed, liberal, leftist agenda on an unwilling, resistant citizenry; Trump by raising and exploiting toxic issues that would have imploded any other campaign, attacking Hillary Clinton with impunity, and by forcing the GOP to have an honest assessment about its identity.
Obama’s time in office has accelerated American decline. With exploding debt, America’s position in the world has suffered. A seriously weakened and degraded military has been unable to even begin to tackle challenges abroad. Allies have been abandoned, and enemies emboldened.
Obama promised that his election would bring about a renewal of racial unity, but on his watch (and largely due to his demagoguery and race baiting) race relations have measurably worsened, and class warfare has been fomented at every level of government his minions and acolytes can touch.
Obama and his regime have ignored laws at a whim, casually disregarding any law that impedes their agenda – even laws of their own devising. His policies (or lack thereof) have erased our border, flooding our cities with enemies of peaceful law and order, punished successful entrepreneurship (“you didn’t build that”), and completely undermined our healthcare system.
His imperial presidency, arrogance and inept incompetence has poisoned our politics, coarsened our culture, demonized the police and made them enemies of the mobs he makes into clients. Above all, during his two terms, Americans have seen a constitution deliberately subverted and undermined, cast aside as an impediment to a leftist agenda, or scoffed at as an obsolete “paper.”
Not without consequence of course. Obama’s overarching, epic failure has served to stoke the fires of grassroots activists across the nation, first manifesting in the 2009 – 2010 Tea Party wave, leading to a resurgence in conservative advocacy, the GOP takeover of the Senate in 2014 and to a decimation of the Democrat party in congress and the statehouses and governors’ mansions across America.
It is no secret that Democratic candidates across the country have struggled at the polls since President Obama took office. But just how badly have Democrats been performing? Well, let’s start with Congress. Since 2009, Democrats have lost a net of 13 Senate seats and a whopping 69 House seats. Now let’s put this in some historical context.
You have to go all the way back to Eisenhower to match this many losses for a party that controls the White House with Senate seats, 13 of them. And in the House, it’s been 100 years since a two-term president’s party suffered worse losses. That was Woodrow Wilson and the Democrats, 99 House seats.
Let’s go to the state level with President Obama. Under him, Democrats have lost control of 12 governorships, including just this past week in Kentucky.
Plus they’ve given up 30 state legislative chambers. And ready for this? Over 900 state legislative seats. No administration since Nixon-Ford saw more governor and state legislative chamber losses in the president’s own party.
Upon this foundation of ashes and cinders, Donald Trump erects his Campaign of the Outcast, speaking to, for and with those who have been left behind and cast aside, drawing them by the thousands to hear his rambling pontifications on the events and issues of the day. Following in the wake and the trail of the man he seeks to replace, he draws on deep, almost sub-conscious fears and divisiveness to get his message across. His gains in this regard come at the expense of the Left, Center and Right, who have failed to effectively provide and enact real-world solutions to the real-world problems of people.
Regardless of his standing in the polls, the crowds he draws to events, and his domination of the airwaves, it is becoming increasingly clear that his run will end before the Republican convention this July in Cleveland. Trump has largely failed to appeal to Conservatives, establishment Republicans and the donor class – groups critical to winning the nomination and election. His supporters tend to be disaffected moderates, angry independents and disillusioned Democrats. His approval numbers have always been upside down, and his poll percentages have largely remained constant – meaning he has hit a ceiling.
As such, Trump will not win the GOP nomination.
His chance of winning any primary at all is small, and his chance of emerging from the convention is almost (barring an accident of nuclear proportions) nil.
Nonetheless, his involvement in the race has served many a positive purpose. He has helped the GOP re-connect with white, middle-class, blue-collar workers, abandoned by the radicalized, extremist Democrats. He has highlighted the urgent need to address immigration in an honest and effective way. His anti-Conservatism has helped elevate true conservatives Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio to the top tier of the race at the expense of establishment squishes. Most importantly, his campaign crucially helped derail the candidacies of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rand Paul.
The upcoming year will be the last of the Obama regime, and America faces a sobering list of challenges abroad, challenges that can only be met and overcome by principled, conservative leadership: a paralyzed economy that must be restored, increased acts of terrorism within the homeland which must be prevented, a destabilized and chaotic Middle East that must be confronted and addressed, and resurgent, emboldened Iran, Russia, and North Korea that must be challenged,
While a few activists among members of the liberty movement within the Republican party view the Cruz campaign (and to a lesser degree, Marco Rubio) with anger and antipathy for various reasons – he’s not Rand Paul, he hasn’t used his position to attack Trump, he holds to socially conservative principles, he operates his campaign in an “unpure” way that takes political realities and possibilities into consideration – in reality, Cruz represents the culmination of the libertarian movement’s efforts within the GOP.
That the establishment fears and hates Ted Cruz is unsurprising, as this has been the reality since the germination of his campaign for Senate in 2011. Cruz owes the Old Guard nothing, and they have no hold on him. This wide gulf of separation between Cruz and the elites in the GOP serves as the only reason he is not the overwhelming front-runner in every poll and the presumptive nominee, with the primaries as a mere formality. Were he the darling of the moneyed class and power brokers in DC, Cruz’s journey to the nomination would have been a “cruise.”
What stands in the way of surging conservatives Cruz and Rubio – and the American people they are trying to lead – is a corrupt, corruptible, entrenched, entitled, mercurial, elitist entity, driven by greedy hunger for power, a willingness to ignore, bend, or buy rules, dismissive of the values, principles and history that shaped America, devoid of the optimistic spirit Americans crave, and upheld not by accomplishment or virtue, but by a cult of celebrity. Whether that entity is named Trump or Obama is of no consequence. That conservatives have begun to recognize this fact, and have started moving in the right direction is what will shape the race to come.
For bringing us to this point, we thank you, Barack and Donald.